The Competitiveness of Nations in a Global Knowledge-Based Economy
A New
Taxonomy of Economic Sectors with a view to Policy Implications
Content Abstract 1. Introduction 2. The Knowledge Based Economy and the Identification Problem 2.1 Knowledge-based Economy and New Growth Theory 2.2 Knowledge-based Sectors and High-technology Industries 3. A Taxonomy based on a Systems Approach to Innovation and Economic Growth 3.1 A Qualitative Matrix of Beneficial Flows 3.2 The Enabling/Recipient Taxonomy 4. Policy Implications 5. Summary and Concluding Remarks Appendix: Nomenclature Employed in this Paper Beneficial effects of Innovation |
Working Paper Series 2001 University of Wollongong Department of Economics
The authors are indebted to Ann Hodgkinson for helpful comments and suggestions. |
Appendix: Nomenclature Employed in this
Paper
Because this paper will be of interest for policy makers
and other analysts who are not necessarily economists, we believe it may be
useful to have some kind of terminological discipline, and describe the most
important technical terms employed in this paper.
Beneficial
effects of Innovation
The concept of innovation comprises both technological
innovation (creation of novel products or new production processes 13
by means of R&D effort or other forms of creative effort) as well as
organizational (or managerial) innovation. Novel products are sold to others –
either to other enterprises or to consumers. Normally, if a novel product is a
producer good, it should serve to improve either the efficiency or the quality
of output in the buying sectors, while if it is a consumer good, it should
presumably enhance the quality of life directly. A new process is a technical improvement
in one’s own production methods and can have productivity effects by reducing
input prices or consumer good prices. Organizational innovations are changes to
the business’ strategies, structures or routines which aim to improve the
performance of the business.
Some innovations may have only a direct impact on growth
(the creation of digital games), while others may also have indirect
repercussions through productivity-enhancing effects (new technologies that
reduce input prices) or through efficiency-enhancing effects (new software
labor-saving products). These
beneficial effects can happen either within the sector where the innovation
occurs or across sectors or at the consumer level. Furthermore, the beneficial effects of an
innovation can be either transmitted through the market mechanism, and thereby,
the beneficial effect is paid for, or can percolate through the economy without
full compensation due, for example, to reverse engineering.
It is worthwhile mentioning here that an R&D project
ends when the innovation has been materialized, that is, when the work is no
longer experimental and pre-production begins. Even when a research endeavor turns out
to be unsuccessful (and by definition, there is no innovation), an R&D
project may yield valuable information, and the returns to this kind of
knowledge can often not be excluded.
For example, a drug that fails to obtain the FDA approval may leave
fruitful insights for new drugs, but the unapproved drug cannot be considered as
an innovation from the economic viewpoint.
Splitting
Innovation Spillovers
In the most recent line of empirical research
technological change is also considered as the result of the existence of both
intentional investments in R&D and R&D spillovers. Estimates of innovation spillovers
startedwith Griliches (1958), and today we have at our disposal a number of
papers where estimations of the magnitudes of R&D spillovers can be found.
These include
It is generally agreed that the term ‘R&D
spillovers’ refers to the fact that firms undertaking R&D are unable to
appropriate all of the benefits from their R&D activities. This standard characterization of the
notion of spillovers may be termed weak (or catchall) definition of R&D
spillovers, because it implies that the spillover effects occur through two
quite distinct channels. One is
“knowledge spillovers”, which refer to the effect of R&D performed in one
firm in improving technology in a second firm without compensation for the
former. The other refers to inputs
purchased by one (‘beneficiary’) firm that embody efficiency-enhancing
attributes and quality improvements, and these beneficial effects are not fully
appropriated by the selling (or ‘source’) firm.
It should be emphasized that the weak definition of
R&D spillovers encompasses two different mechanisms of transmission: while
knowledge spillovers are not transmitted through the market mechanism, the
inputs purchased by the beneficiary firms are obviously transacted in the market
place. Or, to put it differently,
the weak definition encapsulates both technological externalities (knowledge
spillovers) and pecuniary externalities (efficiency gains through the
acquisition of novel products) 15.
It should also be emphasized that the second channel
postulates that the source firm is, at least to some extent, “unfairly” treated
by the market mechanism because it provides benefits to other firms without
getting the corresponding piece of the action. This prompts the question: why are
source firms willing to do a “favor” to beneficiary firms? The answer may well be that source firms
introduce new inputs to gain competitive advantage and are totally satisfied
with the premium price received for their novel products. In other words, in a free market economy
transactions presumably occur because both the beneficiary firm and the source
firm are willing to exchange the items in order to maximize their profits. In brief, no one is doing a favor to
anyone.
The foregoing leads naturally to a strong definition of
the notion in question, namely: R&D spillovers are knowledge spillovers
originated by firms undertaking R&D activities. Clearly, the strong definition
constitutes a proper subset of the weak definition. The partition between the weak and the
strong definition leaves us with a ‘residual’ of innovation spillovers, namely
beneficial spillovers originated either by efficiency-enhancing novel products
or by reductions in the input prices. This residual category is useful to
visualize one of the simplifying assumptions underlying the ER taxonomy: Table 3 focuses only on innovation
spillovers that constitute pecuniary externalities stemming from
efficiency-enhancing novel products.
For the sake of completeness, we finally make contact with the nomenclature used in Kettle et al. (2000, esp. pp. 485-486): the ‘weak’ and the ‘residual’ definitions of innovation spillovers correspond to ‘pure knowledge spillovers’ and ‘rent spillovers’, respectively.
Adams, James D. (1990): “Fundamental Stocks of Knowledge
and Productivity Growth”, Journal of
Political Economy, 98, pp.673-702.
Aghion, P. and P. Howitt (1992): “A Model of Growth
through Creative Destruction”, Econometrica, March, 60, pp.
323-351.
Bernstein, Jeffrey, and M. Ishaq Nadiri (1989):
“Research and Development and Intra- Industry Spillovers: An Empirical
Application of dynamic Duality”, Review
of Economic Studies, 56, pp.
249-269.
Bernstein, Jeffrey, and M. Ishaq Nadiri (1988):
“Interindustry R&D Spillovers, rates of Return, and Production in High- Tech
Industries”, American Economic
Review, 78, pp. 429-434.
Carroll, Peter, Eduardo Pol, and Paul L. Robertson
(2000): “Classification of Industries by Level of Technology: An Appraisal with
Some Implications”, Prometheus
(forthcoming).
Griliches, Zvi (1958): “Research Cost and Social
Returns: Hybrid Corn and Related Innovations”, Journal of Political Economy, 66, pp.
419-431.
Grossman, Gene M. and Elhanan Helpman (1991):Innovation and Growth in the Global
Economy.
Kettle, Tor J., Jarle Moen, and Zvi Griliches (2000): “Do Subsidies to
Commercial R&D Reduce Market Failures? Microeconometric Evaluation Studies”,
Research Policy, April, 29,
pp.471-495.
OECD (1996), Science, Technology and Industry Outlook:
Part V – Special Theme: The Knowledge-based Economy. Directorate for
Science, Technology and Industry, March, pp.1-42.
OECD (1999), OECD
Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 1999. Benchmarking Knowledge-Based
Economies, pp. 1-178.
Pavitt, Keith (1984): “Sectoral Patterns of Technical
Change: Towards a Taxonomy and a Theory”, Research Policy, 13, pp. 343-373.
Quesnay’s
Tableau Economique (1972), Kuezynski,
M. and R.L. Meek, eds.,
Romer, Paul M. (1990a): “Are Nonconvexities Important
for Understanding Growth?”, American
Economic Review, May, 80, pp. 97-103.
Romer, Paul M. (1990b): “Endogenous Technological
Change”, Journal of Political
Economy, October, 98 (5), pp. 71-102.
Schumpeter, Joseph, A. (1961): History of Economic Analysis.
Scitovsky, Tibor (1954): “Two Concepts of External
Economies”, Journal of Political
Economy, April, pp. 143-151.
Stern, Nicholas (1991): “The Determinants of Growth”, Economic Journal, 101, January, pp.
122-133.
Young, Allyn (1928): “Increasing Returns and Economic Progress”, Economic Journal, 38, December, pp.527-542.
1. In this paper we follow the standard practice of
using the terms ‘sector’ and ‘industry’ synonymously.
2. According to Schumpeter (1961, esp. pp. 241-243), the
Tableau Economique can be thought of
as a pictorial description of a system of simultaneous equations, and thereby, a
precursor of the input-output system and modern general equilibrium analysis.
3. Although the latest OECD classification of industries
consists of four groups of industries, (High tech, Medium-high tech, Medium-low
tech, and Low-tech industries), it is customary to refer this as the OECD’s
“dichotomy” of high-tech/low-tech industries.
4. For the
sake of definiteness, NGT is identified here with the line of formal reasoning
inaugurated by Romer (1990b), and the contributions of Grossman and Helpman
(1991), Aghion and Howitt (1992), and others.
5. Compound document that blends information from an
internet browser with information from a Microsoft application like Excel
spreadsheet.
6. New cost-reducing technology expected to be
introduced into aluminum plants in a year or two.
7. New technology expected to double the savings of the
inert anodes technology and to be introduced into aluminum plants in four or
five years.
8. The relationships between knowledge spillovers,
R&D spillovers and externalities is not free of subtleties, and they are
discussed in a brief appendix at the end of this paper.
9. The allocation of the symbols
V and
X that appears in Table 2 is for illustrative purposes
only.
10. In passing, we note that the use of language about
the “old” and the “new” economy is confusing because it opens the possibility of
a play on words. In fact, a new
economy is characterized by the coexistence of old (mature) and new (enabling)
sectors, and therefore, an integral part of a “new” economy is still the “old”
economy.
11. The fundamentals for technological change are: a
stable and predictable political environment; credible macro and microeconomic
policies; secure property rights; an appropriate endowment of human capital;
suitable technology distribution power (i.e. science and technology institutions
that address the industry needs); and government support for innovation.
12. We are designing a large scale field study to
quantify the enabling linkages underlying the ER taxonomy.
13. In many cases the creation of a novel product is
linked to new manufacturing processes, that is, process development turns out to
be an integral part of product development.
14. Kettle et al. (2000) contains a detailed discussion
of the difficulties associated with measurement of R&D spillovers.
15. The partition of external economies into technological externalities (external influences in the technological possibilities of a firm) and pecuniary externalities (external economies operating through the market mechanism) is due to Scitovsky (1954).