Elemental Economics

Ernesto Screpanti & Stefano Zamagni

An outline of the history of economic thought

Chapter  5: The Triumph of Utilitarianism and the Marginalist Revolution

Oxford University Press, 2nd Edition, 2005, 163-173

 

Index

5.1 The Marginalist Revolution

5.1.1 The ‘climax’ of the 1870s and 1880s

5.1.2. The neoclassical theoretical system

5.1.3. Was it a real revolution?

5.1.4. The reasons for success

 

5.1. The Marginalist Revolution

5.1.1. The ‘climax’ of the 1870s and 1880s

The quarter century from the early 1870s was a period of contrasts.  On the one hand, there was a continuation or, rather, an intensification, of the process of deep structural change, which had begun during the preceding twenty years; on the other, economic difficulties of various kinds and intensity appeared that looked like the first signs of a general crisis of the capitalist system, and that made many observers speak of a ‘Great Depression’.

Growth proceeded at different rates in different countries, but was everywhere accompanied by a marked increase in the concentration of capital, with a spread of collusive practices, mergers, and the formation of cartels.  This process was encouraged by great changes in productive techniques, which caused remarkable increases in the size of plant, especially in the mechanical, iron and steel, transport, and communications industries.  Besides this, the organizational form of the limited company consolidated its position and became the privileged instrument for the mobilization and control of the huge amounts of capital needed for growth.

Social relations, in this context, began to structure themselves by taking on two different configurations in the factory and in society.  Inside the firms, especially the large ones, the relations among individuals assumed a hierarchical and bureaucratized form, and this led to the first attempts at ‘personnel management’ and the first formulations of ‘management science’.  In society as a whole, on the other hand, class conflict sharpened dramatically and began to assume the form of a direct battle between powerful political and union groups.  In section 5.1.4 we shall say more about the widespread explosion of social conflict and the effects it produced on the moods of the dominant classes.

The unequal development of countries also produced fiercer international competitiveness, not only in prices and technology but also in the organizational models of the firm and the national economy.  This provoked both the slow decline of English industrial leadership and increased difficulties in international co-ordination, especially in capital markets.  In fact, this was

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also a period of financial instability: serious monetary crises occurred in various capitalist countries in 1873, 1882, 1890, and 1893.  The English banking system, which tended to play the role of international lender of last resort, had great difficulty in keeping the situation under control, and often failed.  The effects of these crises were aggravated, in many European countries, by those produced by a long agricultural depression, a depression which had been caused by the competition of American corn and which had produced a reduction in the prices of agricultural products and the incomes of the still large agricultural classes.

This was also a period of a world-wide reduction in prices and a slowdown in the growth of international trade - phenomena that should be considered in connection both with the deflationary impulses generated by the adoption of the Gold Standard by the main capitalist countries and with the increase in international competitiveness mentioned above.  Nor should we forget the general movement away from the free-trade trend which had been so strong in the preceding twenty years, and the concomitant emergence of widespread attempts at protectionism.  Finally, the national product grew in all countries through the storms of marked short-run business cycles.  On the other hand, the long-run growth trend was weaker everywhere than in the successive twenty years (the Belle époque) and in most countries it was weaker even than the, preceding twenty years.  It is this phenomenon above all that has led some scholars to speak of a Great Depression.  And if the relevance of such a point of view has been questioned by other scholars, especially by those who observed at the performances of the newly emerging powers, we should not forget that in Germany the Grosse Depression is usually associated with the Bismarckzeit, precisely the period we are studying here.

Let us return to economic thought.  Three important books were published at the beginnings of the 1870s: The Theory of Political Economy (1871) by William Stanley Jevons, the Grundsätze der Volkwirtschaftslehre (1871) by Carl Menger, and the Elements d’économie politique pure (1874-1877) by Leon Walras: three books which marked the beginning of what was later to he called the ‘marginalist revolution’.  These books are so different that any attempt to group them could seem daring.  In fact, they had various fundamental things in common, but time was needed to realize this.  Contemporary thinkers hardly noticed the three innovative contributions at all.  It seemed that these authors were to meet the same cruel fate of other great heretics and forerunners.  In effect, there was an almost complete silence for a decade.  The time was still not ripe for the new message to be received and appreciated.  Then suddenly, in the 1880s and the first half of the l890s, the revolution exploded.  Marshall, Edgeworth, and Wicksteed in England, Wieser and Böhn-Bawerk in Austria, Pantaleoni in Italy, and Cassel and Wicksell in Sweden all published fundamental works in the spirit of the new way of doing economic science.  The revolution was completed in a decade.  In the

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following thirty years the theories were refined and generalized.  But, by this time, the old classical system was dead and buried, a new orthodoxy had asserted itself, and even if certain differences between the national schools were to last a long time, it had become clear to everybody that all over the world a single science was being studied and one language spoken; the neoclassical system had imposed itself.  We will discuss this in the next chapter.

This chapter will be dedicated to the three founding fathers of marginalism, and to the meaning of the revolution begun by them.  First of all, however, it is necessary to turn away from history so as to be able to give a summary of the neoclassical system and to point out some of its distinctive characteristics.  Even if some elements of this picture were only to appear much later, it may be useful, in order to understand the meaning of the revolution in the l870s and 1880s, to consider where it was all going to lead.

Index 

5.1.2. The neoclassical theoretical system

One characteristic of the new system which was apparent from the beginning was a reduction of interest in economic growth, the great theme of the economic theories of Smith, Ricardo, Marx, and all the classical economists.  Attention, instead, was focused on the problem of the allocation of given resources.  Certainly, the basic ideas of the classical economists concerning the problem of growth continued to be influential.  In lesson 36 of the Elements, for example, Walras put forward a theory of economic evolution that could still be considered Ricardian.  The same could be said, to give another example, of the process of ‘growth of wealth’ described by Marshall in his Principles.  But it is a fact that, in spite of the presence of considerations concerning the dynamics of economic systems, the founders of the neoclassical theoretical system basically did not consider the problem of the evolution of industrial economies.  The central argument of the theoretical research in this period was the study of a static equilibrium system, that is, an economy, as J. B. Clark was to say later, ‘free to find the final levels of equilibrium determined by the factors available at any given moment of time’ (The Distribution of Wealth, p. 29).

At the centre of the neoclassical system is the problem of the allocation of given resources among alternative uses.

In the analysis of the conditions ensuring the optimal allocation of given resources among alternative uses, the neoclassical economists identified a universally valid principle, one which was able, alone, to embrace the entire economic reality.  As Robbins said: ‘Scarcity of means to satisfy ends of varying importance is an almost ubiquitous condition of human behaviour.  Here, then, is the unity of subject of Economic Science, the forms assumed by human behaviour in disposing of scarce means’ (An Essay on the Nature and Significance of Economic Science, p. 15).  The tendency to extend the basic

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model to every branch of economic investigation was reinforced during the course of the century until it culminated in the argument of P. A. Samuelson that there is a simple principle at the heart of all economic problems: a mathematical function to maximize under constraints.

Another characteristic that unites the three founding fathers, and one which was to remain a pillar of the neoclassical system, is their acceptance of the utilitarian approach; an approach which numbered among its forerunners Galiani, Beccaria, Bentham, Say, Senior, Bastiat, Cournot, and, above all, Gossen.  In fact, the most important theoretical contribution of Jevons, Menger, and Walras lies, still more than in their complete and coherent reformulation of the utility theory of value and in the hypothesis of decreasing marginal utility, in the way they modified the utilitarian foundation of political economy.  Their marginalism gave credit to a special version of utilitarian philosophy, one for which human behaviour is exclusively reducible to rational calculation aimed at the maximization of utility.  They considered this principle to be universally valid: alone, it would have allowed the understanding of the entire economic reality.

A third distinctive element relates to the method.  The neoclassical method is based on the principle of the variation of proportions, the so-called ‘substitution principle’, a method which has no equivalent in classical economics.  In the theory of consumption, the substitutability of one basket of goods for another is assumed; in the theory of production, the substitutability of one combination of factors for another.  The analysis is carried out in terms of the alternative possibilities among which the subjects, both consumers and producers, can choose.  And the objective is the same: to search for the conditions under which the optimal alternative is chosen.  This method presupposes that the alternatives at stake are ‘open’ and that the decisions taken are reversible; otherwise, the substitution principle would have no rational ground.

A fourth distinctive characteristic of the neoclassical approach concerns the economic agents.  If they are subjects able to make rational decisions with a view to maximizing an individual goal, such as utility or profit, they must be individuals, or, at the most, ‘minimum’ social aggregates characterized by the individuality of the decision-making unit, such as households and companies.  Thus the collective agents, the social classes and ‘political bodies’, which the mercantilists, the physiocrats, the classical economists, and Marx had placed at the centre of their theoretical systems, disappear from the scene.  With neoclassical thought methodological individualism definitely entered economic science: knowledge of the properties of a system comes from the knowledge of the properties of its elements.

A fifth characteristic is represented by the final attainment of an objective to which many classical economists had aspired but which nobody had ever realized completely: the historicity of economic laws.  Economics was likened to the natural sciences, physics in particular, and economic laws

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finally assumed that absolute and objective characteristic of natural laws.  The pervasiveness of the problem posed by the neoclassical economists, the problem of scarcity, establishes the universal validity of the economic laws.  But for this to make sense, it is necessary to remove social relations from the field of economics, exorcizing them as a superstition, a waste of time, a subject not in line with the new scientific achievements.  With the marginalist revolution also originated that reductionist project of economics which has marked all the successive neoclassical thought, a project according to which economics has no other field of research than technical relationships (the relationships between man and nature).  Thus, while individualistic reductionism had led to the elimination of social classes, the anti-historicist reduction led to the elimination of social relations - which obviously meant that the study of their change also lost importance.  While in the work of the classical economists and Marx the analytical apparatus was constructed with explicit reference to the capitalistic system whose laws of movement they wished to investigate, the neoclassical paradigm aimed for a complete historicity.  Naturally, this was not easy to achieve.  Even Walras, for example, had to use notions such as capital, interest, entrepreneur, wages - notions which make sense only in reference to the capitalist system.

Finally, a sixth important distinctive element of the neoclassical system lies in the substitution for the objective theory of value of a subjective one.  At the base of the principle of subjective value is the argument that all values are individual and subjective.  ‘Individual’ means that they are considered always as the ends of particular individuals.  On the other hand, values are ‘subjective’ in that they arise from a process of choice: an object has value if it is desired by at least somebody.  The principle of subjectivity implies that a value is such because somebody has chosen it as an end; whereas the principle of individuality postulates that there must be a particular individual to which that end can be attributed.  In the opposite conception, that of objective value, values exist independently of individual choices.  The individual can accept or reject values but he is not able to influence them.  An immediate and important consequence of the neoclassical approach in regard to the question of value is that the theory of the distribution of income becomes a special case of the theory of value, a problem of determining the prices of the services of the productive factors rather than of sharing out income among the social classes.

 Index

5.1.3. Was it a real revolution?

One of the most important problems posed by the marginalist revolution for the historian of ideas is whether it was a real revolution.  That name, ‘neoclassical system’, which is now given to the theoretical system originated from the marginalist revolution, seems to prove right those who argue

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continuity with the preceding ‘classical’ theoretical system.  But is the name correct?  It is useful to begin precisely with this problem.

It was Marx who identified the classical theoretical system.  As already mentioned, he was extremely rigorous in defining the approach and very selective in labelling the economists.  The yardstick was Ricardo, but Marx went back as far as Petty and Boisguillebert to find the origins of the classical system.  On the basis of his measure, the English anti-Ricardians were not considered classical, while Malthus and Say were to be taken cum grano salis; and even Smith was accused of a few ‘vulgar notions’.

Instead, the definition of ‘neoclassical’ system, which is due to the institutionalist Thorstein Vebelen, was referred to the work of Marshall; then it widened to embrace the whole of modern orthodox theory.  It is an independent definition from the Marxian one of classical economics.  Marshall himself, moreover, wished to stress the continuity of a tradition which linked him to Mill and Smith without excluding Ricardo; and he endeavoured to ignore the considerable heterogeneity of Ricardian economics with respect to that tradition.

On the other hand, the anti-Ricardian character of the marginalist revolution was extremely clear to Jevons; and there is no doubt that, if the theoretical system that originated from the revolution had been named with reference to his work, it would have been called ‘anti-classical’ rather than ‘neoclassical’.

Now, if Marshall had been correct in rejecting any element of discontinuity between the two theoretical systems, those modern historians who deny the existence of the marginalist revolution would also be right.  The idea of these historians is that, on the Continent, marginalism can be traced back, with no substantial epistemological break, to the ‘classical’ traditions, such as that uniting Say to Bastiat, without excluding Dupuit and Cournot, in France, or that uniting Lotz and Soden to the ‘German Manchester School’, without excluding von Thünen and Gossen, in Germany, or finally that uniting Galiani to Ferrara, in Italy.

England, on the other hand, would be taken as a special case.  Here a particular version of the classical system developed, in the form of Ricardianism, which in a certain sense would have justified Jevons’s claims of making a revolution.  But then, ex post, Marshall turned out to be right in his rejection of the idea of a qualitative jump.  Paradoxically, with this interpretation Marshall is credited with leading England out of its insularity.

But things are not exactly like this.  The true precursors and founders of marginalism were not completely integrated into the classical traditions, but instead were outcasts condemned to the edges of the academic circles which cultivated orthodox theories.  This is just as true for England as for the Continent (with the exception of Italy), as demonstrated by the fact that not only Jevons identified the enemy in the ‘noxious influence of the authority’ of Smith, Ricardo, the two Mills etc., but also Walras violently attacked Smith,

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Ricardo, and Mill, and when he showed a little appreciation for Say, he quickly raised some qualifications (opposite to those of Marx).  And both Jevons and Walras were aware that, when they paid tribute to Senior and Gossen, they were dealing with heretics.

In reality, in the orthodox pre-marginalist economic theories, from Smith and Say to Mill and to the theorists of economic harmonies, classical economic thought had evolved while preserving intact the Smithian theoretical dualism.  The methodology of aggregates remained anchored to an explanation of production and distribution based on the social classes, and to a theory of value based on the costs of production; whereas microeconomic methodology remained linked to a theory of the competitive equilibrium based on the rationality, in the utilitarian sense, of individual choices.  The two approaches continued to develop together for almost a century after Smith, remaining intertwined in more or less awkward ways.  Ricardo had made his revolution, trying to free the former from the latter.  The marginalists did the opposite.  Their revolution consisted in this: they freed microeconomics, understood as a theory of rational individual choices, from classical macroeconomics.  It was a revolution not only against Ricardo, but against all that was present in a confused way in the work of the other classical economists and which Ricardo had tried to bring to light.  In other words, the ‘classical’ tradition, of which the neoclassical system proposed itself as a continuation, basically consisted in that Benthamian component which was partially already present in Smith, and later taken up again by the anti-Ricardians and by Mill; a component that Marx, instead, on the ground of the Ricardian criticisms of Smith, had defined as ‘vulgar’, i.e. non-classical.  It was against Marx’s classical economics that the marginalists made a revolution, not against that of Mill.

So different is the neoclassical theoretical system from the classical one (in the Marxian sense) that the revolution even led to a modification in the name itself of economic science, which from 1879 (at least in the Anglo-Saxon world) began to be called ‘economics’ rather than ‘political economy’.  The new term had been used sporadically in the preceding forty years, but in 1877 and 1878 it even appeared in the titles of books by J. M. Sturtevant and by H. D. Macleod.  Subsequently, Alfred and Mary Marshall and Jevons explicitly proposed it as a more serious and scientific substitute for the old term ‘political economy’.

Jevons dealt with this matter in the second edition (1879) of his Theory of Political Economy.  His proposal to substitute economics for political economy was motivated by an economic reason, one could say: one word is better than two.  Later, however, phrases slipped out which reveal an inferiority complex, or spirit of emulation, in relation to mathematics.  On the other hand, Jevons felt it was important to make it clear that his aspiration was to give a new name to ‘a science that almost a century ago was known to French economists as science économique(p. 18).

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Marshall had much clearer ideas on this point.  In The Economics of Industry (1879), written in collaboration with his wife, Mary, he explained his motivations for the change of name by putting forward the view that economics has nothing to do with political bodies and particular political interests.  These are in fact two different motivations: one explicit, concerned with avoiding confusing the science with vested interests; the other implicit, but deeper, which was only later to emerge clearly, as the neoclassical system began to differentiate itself from the classical system: to avoid relating the science to ‘political’ or ‘collective’ bodies.  This second reason turned into the refusal to recognize the behaviour of collective economic agents as the subject of study of economics.

As already mentioned, the study of collective agents was precisely the feature adopted by the mercantilists to found their science: no longer (domestic) economy, but political economy; no longer the administration of the household, but that of the State; no longer the study of the causes of the enrichment of the individuals, but that of the nation, the people, and the merchant class.  It is significant that, by rejecting the ‘political’ nature of economics, the neoclassical economists were once more conceiving of this science as one that has to do with the domestic economy.  In fact, it still deals with the maximization of the welfare of the household, or of the profits of the firm, which are, in fact, individual economic agents.

 Index

5.1.4. The reasons for success

Another problem the marginalist revolution poses to the historians of economic thought concerns the reasons why it occurred at that historical moment.  Why not at the time of Senior, Longfield, Dupuit, Cournot, and von Thünen?  And why did Jevons, Menger, and Walras not remain ingenious heretics at the edges of the academic world, as seemed to be occurring in the ten years after the publication of their works?  Why was there, in the 1880s, a second generation of marginalists who gave that heresy the power of a revolutionary wave?  The correct way to pose the problem of the historical sense of the marginalist revolution seems to be this: it is not the problem of finding the reasons why the fundamental works of the three great neoclassical economists were published in the early 1870s, but rather of understanding why, in a period of a few years, the message contained in those works was accepted as the ‘New Testament’ by the majority of the economists who counted.  It is possible, with some simplication, to put forward two kinds of reason: one ‘internal’, the other ‘external’.

The first concerns the inability of the classical orthodoxy to solve a series of theoretical problems.  The labour theory of value had never been watertight, and the Ricardians’ attempts to escape from the difficulties with a theory of the cost of production had only made matters worse, inducing Mill to open cracks which the marginalists had no difficulty penetrating with their

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corrosive criticisms.  But here, generalizations were more damaging than criticisms.  For example, Jevons argued that the cases of joint production, which Mill considered to be exceptions to the theory of value based on the cost of production, in fact constituted the general case.  Marshall, instead, had tried to generalize the case of the goods whose production could not be increased without an increase in cost.  The labour theory of value, by this time, was really only defended by Marx.  Marx’s version of the theory was in fact rather refined, but this did not avoid some broadsides from the neoclassical economists, as we will see later.  And the weak defence set up by the Marxists (such as Hilferding) served only to discredit the theory finally, so that it lost any residue of scientific decorum.

Furthermore, the classical economists had not managed to produce a satisfactory theory of income distribution.  This was a serious flaw, as the theory of distribution made up the core of the classical economic theory.  The principal difficulty concerned the theory of wages, on which the whole structure was built.  Once the argument is discarded that wages are forced down to the subsistence level through the operation of Malthus’ population mechanism, the whole theory collapses.  This was precisely one of Jevons’s criticisms.  On the other hand, the road taken by the Ricardians to escape from this difficulty was the theory of the wages fund, and this was even weaker and less defensible than Ricardo’s own theory.  It was again Jevons and Walras who put salt in the wound, by showing that the theory of the wages fund was tautological (in the best of cases) and logically inconsistent (in the worst, which were, in fact, the most widespread interpretations).

But all this is not enough to explain the success of the marginalist revolution and its rapid conquest of hegemony.  The ‘external’ reasons are perhaps even more important than the internal ones.  For some time, the Ricardian theory had been used for critical purposes by the socialist economists.  In particular, the theory of surplus had been used as a foundation for a theory of capitalist exploitation.  We have already mentioned that in the 1830s the ‘anti-Ricardian’ economists had been motivated, in their criticism of Ricardianism, by their intention to attack socialist theories.  Forty years later, things were still the same.  Jevons had little difficulty in linking himself to the English anti-Ricardian tradition.  Walras was even more explicit when, in regard to the theory of interest, he noted: ‘It has been a favourite target for socialists; and the answer which economists have given to these attacks has not, up to the present, been overwhelmingly convincing’ (p. 422).

From the 1870s onwards, theoretical socialism rapidly tended to identify itself with Marxism, and unhesitatingly advanced strong claims to be a scientific theory.  It was exactly against such claims that some of the second- and third-generation marginalists launched their attacks.  We will limit ourselves here to mentioning the powerful ‘Jevonian’ attack that Wicksteed brought to bear on the Marxian theory of value in Das Kapital: A Criticism’, and the even harsher one attempted by Böhn-Bawerk, which we will consider in next

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chapter.  But in 1893 Pareto was already looking at the matter with more ‘detachment’, convinced that ‘the criticism of Karl Marx no longer needed to be made’, as it was by that time implicit ‘in the improvements brought by political economy to the theory of value’ (p. 141).

In order that the criticisms of socialism, and of Marxism in particular, should not seem too ideological, it was necessary to focus on their analytic bases.  But these were the same as those of classical economic theory.  It was necessary, therefore, to ‘re-invent’ economic science, reconstructing it on a foundation which would allow the deletion of the concepts themselves of ‘social class’, ‘labour power’, ‘capitalism’, ‘exploitation’, ‘surplus’, etc. from the body of the science.  The theory of marginal utility provided the solution.  Moreover, it seemed that it would permit the demonstration that an almost perfect kind of social organization would be realized in a competitive economy; a kind of organization in which the market rules would allow an optimum allocation to be reached and, with it, the harmony of interests and the maximization of individual objectives.

On the other hand, the resumption of a sharp and endemic social conflict made academic communities and political and cultural circles particularly receptive to the new theory.  The first Workers’ International was inaugurated in London in 1864, held its most important congresses in various European capitals between 1866 and 1872, and disbanded in Philadelphia in 1876.  But then, in 1889 the 2nd International was founded in Paris, and this was much more fearsome and strongly influenced by Marxism.  These aggregation processes of the revolutionary organizations were driven along by the powerful resumption of the workers’ struggle in all the advanced capitalist countries.  The period from 1868 until the mid-l870s was characterized by sharp conflict, almost as if all the repressed anger of the preceding twenty years of peace had exploded at the same time.  The Paris Commune was only the tip of the iceberg of a movement which was much more widespread and longer lasting.  And the violent repressions which followed these international explosions (1872-3 in France, 1873-4 in Great Britain and Germany, 1877 in the USA and Italy) had only temporary effects.  The conflict began to manifest itself again, in more or less acute forms, during the l880s, and continued for about half the following decade.

There is thus no doubt that, when Jevons, Menger, and Walras presented a theory capable of averting attention completely from unpleasant problems, they were launching onto the market exactly the theory that was demanded.  In the 1880s and 1890s, that demand was so strong that no marginalist economist had to worry about remaining on the edges of the cultural and academic worlds.  A strange but eloquent fact is worth noting here.  Gossen’s 1854 book, which had anticipated many of the results of the marginalist revolution, had been a total publishing failure.  Gossen died in 1858 with no glory.  But 30 years later, a discerning Berlin publisher reprinted the book with a brief preface and a new date: 1889.  It was an extraordinary success.  Another curious insight,

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which, if nothing else, tells us a great deal about the state of mind with which the marginalists set about constructing a value-free science, was given in a letter from Auguste Walras to his son Leon on 6 February 1859:

One thing which I find most satisfying about your work plan, and with which I am in complete agreement, is your decision to keep within the most inoffensive limits with regards to proprietors.  It is a wise decision and easy enough to implement.  One should dedicate oneself to political economy as one would to the science of acoustics or mechanics.  (quoted in Leroy, Auguste Wairas, p. 289)

Finally, it is worth observing that marginalism, while presenting itself as an alternative to the classical approach at the level of economic theory, preserved the basic philosophy of the latter on at least one essential question.  Jevons, Menger, and Walras, and the vast majority of the marginalists of the following generations, were fervent supporters of laissez-faire.  Certainly, while classical laissez-faire had focused on the problem of accumulation, neoclassical laissez-faire was orientated more towards the problem of allocative efficiency.  The most advanced capitalist countries had by this time solved the problem of industrial take-off, so that the needs of accumulation were no longer felt in the terms in which they had been perceived by Smith.  On the other hand, the 1870s and 1880s were marked by the ‘Great Depression’, the first great demonstration of the inability of capitalism to defeat the anarchy of the market.  We should not be surprised, therefore, by the great success of a theory proving that the market, far from being anarchical, is the best allocator of resources, and that, if things do not work well, it is precisely because the ‘workers’ coalitions’ hinder the functioning of the market.

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Index

Elemental Economics